Monday, February 5, 2018

Philippine Communist Movement: Saboteurs of the Prospects for Lasting Peace in Southern Mindanao & Facilitators of Chinese Communists' Dumping of Tons of Illegal Drugs in the Poorly-Patrolled Coasts of the Philippines? 


PLUS Who Are So Afraid of Losing So Many Votes Out of the Outcome of the Final Phases of Implementation of the GRP-MILF Peace Agreement for Muslim-Majority Parts of Mindanao in Southern Philippines?

(First draft  //  This blog is under construction)

For decades, the United States and other western nations labored so hard and spent so much money of their citizens to help bring about lasting peace in southern Mindanao. In contrast: Until a recent year, the average amount of annual total investments from the Filipino-Chinese to China was greater than the total annual Chinese communist investments in the Philippines. (Of course Filipino-Chinese investments in China also include some of the money of poor and middle-class Filipinos who are victims of severe corruption in their country, severe corruption that some Chinese communist firms exploit to buy their ways to favorable positioning in the Philippine market.)

iDisrupt.blogspot.com


From our Facebook accounts

As per the dictates of the operatives of the Communist Party of China (CCP), how does the Philippine communist movement --  especially so if the CCP thinks the Philippines is merely having some time-limited fling with it -- so subtly but so effectively work to sabotage any peace process in the Philippines?
(Full, non-redacted  versions of articles in this blog available to invited readers only )

(The case of politicians, afraid of damaging their short-term political prospects, silently opposing the passage of the enabling law for the new Bangsa Moro entity, an expanded Muslim autonomous region with greater autonomy, and the case of the Philippine communist movement working at grassroots-levels to stoke excessive fears from among the relevant non-Muslim populations in Mindanao, southern Philippines to sabotage the implementation of a peace agreement partly to keep the Philippines weak and the security forces perpetually pre-occupied with threats to internal security and rebellion as China completes its construction and installations of its Maritime Great Wall of Missiles – knives on Philippine and Filipino soldiers’ throats -- in the West Philippine Sea)


https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=2103286089947385&set=a.1384033165206018.1073741828.100007980430332&type=3

President Duterte was elected by the overwhelming majority of “Christian” populations (including non-Muslim tribal, lumad groups) in Mindanao not just for his well-known hardline stance against criminality and his preference for radical but what he thought were more effective means of addressing a perennial problem for all troubled societies (the problem of illegal drugs) but also for what they believed was his competence, political will, practical thinking and stronger approaches to address the overall problems of peace and order, terrorism and rebellion (communist and Moro ones) in Mindanao.


https://www.facebook.com/permalink.php?story_fbid=1794253024184028&id=100007980430332

The “Muslim” populations (and Muslim tribal groups) in Mindanao on the other hand elected President Duterte for different sets of reasons, personal beliefs and sentiments, and political considerations. He of course calls Mindanao home, but since becoming the country’s first president from Mindanao (Davao City is figuratively a world apart from the Muslim-dominant societies west of the island and in the Sulu archipelago) he should have discovered that from a macro perspective the socio-political problems of Mindanao are even more confounding than he ever imagined or gave thought about.


https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=1924957897780206&set=a.1384033165206018.1073741828.100007980430332&type=3


Of course, personality politics, with its manifestations in varying degrees in almost every country in the world, to some extent true even in the advanced societies (with rits maifestations rather benign) is arguably in one of its worst versions in the Philippines. Millions of votes were cast based on perceived associations with national candidates than for any reasons, personal beliefs and stand on issues. Moreover, many millions of votes were in compliance with the informal agreements between the voters and the vote-buying and vote-dictating entities (organized-crime groups, communist rebels, candidates, political dynasties and other kinds of financiers like Chinese smugglers). There are certain thresholds though, for instance a few clan patriarchs told us of why their clan members should never vote for this 2016 vice presidential candidate no matter what, this manifesting in a big way last 2016 elections that catapulted Rodrigo Duterte to power.
What to many among the Moro civil society and the Moro rebel groups is a quest to correct historical injustices, and the opportunities to more viable pursue their collevtive aspirations, to many among the non-Muslims it is part of the steps to not only dominate them in the future but ultimately an effective means of constricting their freedom to pursue their own aspirations and that the new entity of Bangsa Moro is even an existential threat to them – the underlying narratives now entrenched in their collective psyches.


https://www.facebook.com/permalink.php?story_fbid=1920984871510842&id=100007980430332

The Philippine communist movement, who very loudly project support of the the peace agreement between the Philippine government and the Moro Islamic Liberation Front, uses its broad and mighty propaganda machinery to create even greater fears among the mainstream “Christian” or non-Muslim populations just outside of the border areas of the Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (ARMM), those who live within the present autonomous region and defined areas of the new Bangsa Moro, and in the areas of Mindanao where there are significant numbers of Muslim residents. 


https://www.facebook.com/permalink.php?story_fbid=1736363913306273&id=100007980430332

Truth is, the pro-China communist movement have proven themselves very effective at reinforcing and advancing these anti-Muslim and anti-Bangsa Moro narratives, and these sentiments (mostly fears) from among the relevant non-Muslims underpin the silent opposition to the BBL by the very lawmakers and even non-Muslim civil society leaders in Mindanao (many of them of course would never admit to harboring hostile sentiments to the very idea of the BBL or the new Bangsa Moro entity, and they also know that doing so can very seriously harm their short-term political viability).

The problem is that their bases for the opposition of the idea of a new Bangsa Moro entity with an expanded area of coverage and greater autonomy than the present ARMM are hardly in any of the public debates that seek to enlighten the majority of the mainstream Filipinos outside of Mindanao and among the civil society, and this remains unaddressed and unchallenged thus limiting the kind of broader political and civil society support to address what remains a stalled final implementation of the terms of the peace agreement between the government and the MILF. Navigating in the sea of very strong opposing public sentiments with dangerous or treacherous undercurrents is how we can characterize the efforts to finally achieve peace in the Muslim-dominant areas of Mindanao.


From an old Facebook post: https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=1894714024137927&set=a.1384033165206018.1073741828.100007980430332&type=3

What are these beliefs, preconceptions, speculations, fears and private counter-arguments by the relevant populations and which among these have any merits worth revisiting? How can these be addressed by both the MILF and the Philippine government, and especially by the lawmakers from Mindanao? In the case of the communist rebels, what new or better hybrid approaches can the government take to cause them to give up their armed struggle against the government?


https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=1984322365177092&set=a.1384033165206018.1073741828.100007980430332&type=3


What are the other impediments and existing triggers against the prospects of both short- and long-term peace in Mindanao? Are the means to achieving peace as consequential to the success or failure of the very goals of the proponents? Can any entity or both proponents impose peace, or should greater focus instead be on the re-thinking of the process? The civil society, and lawmakers representing more tha  ¾ of the Filipinos outside of Mindanao, do they even have any good approximations of the ground realities in the different parts of Mindanao and among tribal & lumad groups? (For answers to these questions, please read the last paragraph below.)


https://www.facebook.com/permalink.php?story_fbid=1727558364186828&id=100007980430332


A dilemma for the government now is that lawmakers and very influential figures from Mindanao, and we are so sure of this, won’t easily ”betray” their personal beliefs and opinions, and biases and even bigotry, those of the majority of their constituents (those who are from or who represent “Christian”-majority areas), their beliefs relevant to the issues in this case being truly representative of the very private sentiments, fears and rationalizations of of the “Christian” members of the civil society and common folks inside the ARMM and areas in Mindanao’s southwestern; northwestern parts bordering the present Muslim Autonomous Region (ARMM); Zamboanga Peninsula and the Sulu archipelago. But can the present government effectively employ strong-arm tactics, or even incentives to make the non-Muslim lawmakers from Mindanao work in favor of the BBL, and if it does what are the consequences, in terms of votes for its candidates for future elections, among others?

The opposition to the passage of the BBL, and creation of the new Bangsa Moro entity is rooted in deep-seated sense of...

(Wait, I am about to write what even the most outspoken non-Muslim civil society influencers in Mindanao don’t dare write about and say in public. So, I am going to take my sweet time waiting for the right kind of wisdom to guide me and kuya Ernest as to how to approach the articulation of our ideas and opinions on an issue so sensitive and so important. We also fear about potential for unintended consequences that our published thoughts, ideas and honest assessments can bring about.)


https://www.facebook.com/permalink.php?story_fbid=1997966197146042&id=100007980430332



India: Bigger Steps & Even Leaps Required to Ensure Viable Future Chances of Survival (based on MAD) Against China PLUS It Needs Ever Closer Economic & Security Ties with the United States, Japan, Western Europe & Australia
(First Draft  //  This blog is under construction)


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https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=1920975371511792&set=a.1384033165206018.1073741828.100007980430332&type=3

Without any greater sense of being endangered, and occasionally jolted by the  existential threat from China, India making the same unwitting mistake of the United States consenting to the Communist Party of China (CCP) to grow China’s economy at the expense of the US's national interests & future prospects for continued prosperity & relative security? Even as millions of CCP’s trolls bash, ridicule & belittle Indians & India, the Indians seem not really so rattled enough to counter the efforts of China to undermine its national interests.
Also: India, Japan, Australia and the United States should deliberately and methodically build respective local political bases of support (mainstream populations) achieve anywhere near the entrenched general sentiments in Europe for the essential need to unite against a perceived or real common formidable foe that poses an existential threat...


https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=1910499965892666&set=a.1384033165206018.1073741828.100007980430332&type=3

(Planning to initiate campaigns to raise awareness on the urgency of the issues, and about how Southeast Asia should be part of the drive to weaken the industrial prowess of China (country that mastered the art of theft of intellectual properties) by a collective efforts to push the technological powerhouses Japan, US and Western Europe to actively pursue a migration of their facilities and transfers of advanced technologies from China to India and select Southeast Asian countries)

soon...